Matt Ryan poised for fantasy outburst in Week 13

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Matt Ryan poised for fantasy outburst in Week 13 Published: Dec 01, 2016 at 07:27 AM Welcome to Darrick Forrest Jersey fantasy analysis. Each week, we'll highlight some favorable quarterback plays and a few running backs that could prove valuable for fantasy owners based on matchups, projected game flow, and most e sentially, talent. With Week 12 in the books and another sample of fantasy points against data to work with, here are a few matchups to exploit in Week 13. These players might just win your week. Air Analysis: vs. Chiefs has come back to Earth as a fantasy option over the last two games with a 15.47 fantasy point per game average compared to 21.88 over his previous four games. But fantasy owners should feel more confident than ever rolling him out in a plus matchup this week. Obviously, a big reason that Ryan has been so succe sful is because he has on the receiving end of his pa ses. Jones currently leads the NFL in receiving yards with 1,140. But Jones' owners are probably worried about star cornerback ' locking him down this week. After all, Peters has held some big-name wideouts in check this year: On the 27 plays that Peters has lined up to face , , and , those receivers have posted a combined five receptions on 11 targets for 58 yards, one touchdown (Hopkins) and one interception. The caveat here is that Peters plays almost exclusively at left cornerback with 94.3 percent of his snaps coming on that side of the defense, meaning he doesn't travel to shadow these types of elite receivers. Jones plays 51 percent of his snaps from the wide left position (not the Peters side), so that should leave plenty of opportunities (if Peters doesn't travel) for him to face on the other side of the defense. Gaines was burned by the Denver receivers on his side of the field last week for 209 yards and two touchdowns. Let's not forget about the ' other weapons: has broken out of late and while he's a low-volume gadget type player, it looks like he's carved out a role for himself with an uncanny ability to use his otherworldly speed to gain yards after catch, only boosting Ryan's potential for pa sing yards and touchdowns. and are both talented pa s-catching backs, and hauled in all eight of his targets last week. Look for Ryan, who ranks first in the league with 9.25 yards per attempt, third with 26 pa sing touchdowns and averages 333.4 pa s yards per game at home, to post 20-plus fantasy points against the this week. at Chargers As a fantasy quarterback, Winston has been somewhat inconsistent this season. Even so, his 16 fantasy points last week against Seattle was his lowest since Week 5 and marked the first game all season in which Winston threw Jared Norris Jersey fewer than 30 pa s attempts in a game. This week, Winston faces the who score an average of 28.5 points per game this season, fourth in the NFL. That high number keeps opposing teams in pa s-mode which only makes Winston more appealing. The second-year quarterback has thrown 14 touchdown pa ses with just three picks in his last seven games and has thrown multiple touchdowns in all but one game since Tampa Bay's Week 6 bye. Plus, his 10.2 air yards per pa s attempt is the highest in the NFL, so he's not afraid to air it out. When you have a wideout like absolutely dominating opposing defenders, why not? Expect a huge game from Winston this week in what could sneakily be a high-scoring affair in San Diego. Ground Analysis: vs. 49ers Since Week 8, is averaging 103.5 rushing yards per game, second only to (111.8) in that span. He's virtually locked-in to at least 20 touches per game and as we saw last week, even in negative game scripts, the will continue to feed him as they lack other healthy/reliable options in the offense. Even with Chicago trailing the last week, Howard saw 10 second-half touches. In addition, he gets work as a pa s-catcher. Dating back to Week 8, he's averaging four targets and 28 receiving yards per game. There is no threat to his workload, and combined for two carries last week. He also ranked eighth out of 38 qualified running backs last week in distance traveled per rush yard gained at a clip of 3.4, and ranks among the top 10 backs in that category for the season. The own the worst rush defense in the league, and as , fantasy owners shouldn't be scared off after failed in terms of efficiency as a runner last week against San Francisco. Miami's offensive line was decimated with injuries. They allow a ridiculous 424.5 yards per game, last in the NFL, along with 171.8 rushing yards per game, also last in the league. They have also surrendered 30-plus points to opponents in eight games this season, so the scoring potential is definitely there too. With the kind of workload the are feeding Howard lately, combined with the competent quarterback play we saw produce last week (which does correlate with running back succe s), this is lining up to be a huge game for the rookie back. vs. Redskins For weeks now, I've been going out on a bit of a limb with some of my running back picks in this space ( , Darren Sproles). And usually, every week, the players who end up being selected for the Ground voting are the big names you'd expect. Last week it was , and . and have each won the voting twice. So I'm going boring here and picking , who despite ranking as the highest scoring running back in fantasy has yet to win Ground honors yet this year. Johnson probably doesn't get a ton of love for the Ground honors because a huge part of his yardage each week comes as a receiver. He even led the in receiving last week with 103 yards and has seen 11 targets in each of his last two outings. He's posted 100-plus scrimmage yards in every single game this season and has scored 13 total touchdowns. This week, Johnson faces a defense that allows 116.7 rushing yards per game. But the one stat that really stands out is the ' 30th-ranked red zone touchdown percentage, 67.6. It's no surprise that 11 of Johnson's touchdowns have Tress Way Jersey come in the red-zone this year and he ranks first among all running backs with 82.9 red zone fantasy points. It's pretty obvious that the will force the ball into Johnson's hands when they get inside the 20-yard line and given how poorly the are at holding teams to field goals once in the red zone this week makes for the ideal matchup for Johnson to dominate and at least earn Ground nomination honors post-Week 13. This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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